AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
COWBOYS
0%
BIG GREEN
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
DART By 1-7 points
0.0%
DART By 8-14 points
0.0%
WYO By 1-7 points
0.2%
WYO By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
64
DARTMOUTH
Wyoming
100
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
68
DARTMOUTH
Wyoming
72
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
DART @ WYO
80 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+56.8% more
Wyoming: 7.7
vs
Dartmouth: 4.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Wyoming: 47.1%
vs
Dartmouth: 44.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Wyoming: 78.3%
vs
Dartmouth: 75.7%
Blocks (L5)
+50.3% more
Dartmouth: 4.9
vs
Wyoming: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
64.0
80
WYO Score
100.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 35.9
35.0 / 48.0
Assists
13.4 / 14.8
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.5 / 4.9
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 44.1
53.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 75.7
59.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 42.0
34.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.9
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 13.1
7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
WYO
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
WYO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
DART
WYO
DART
ML
52%
17-16
62%
16-10
70%
23-10
50%
13-13
ATS
64%
21-12
65%
17-9
70%
23-10
50%
13-13
TTL
64%
21-12
88%
23-3
100%
33-0
100%
26-0