Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Utes CBU @ UTAH

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

7-3  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

7-3  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
📊
UTES
100%
LANCERS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (California Baptist)
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

91.9%

Utes Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)

CBU By 1-7 points

16.9%

CBU By 8-14 points

26.2%

UTAH By 1-7 points

5.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
90
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
76
UTAH
Simulated Score
70
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
75
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lancers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lancers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 CBU @ UTAH 85 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +13.2% more
California Baptist: 7.0 vs Utah: 6.1
Blocks (L5) +78.1% more
Utah: 2.9 vs California Baptist: 1.6
Assists (L5) +45.3% more
Utah: 14.7 vs California Baptist: 10.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Utah: 36.2% vs California Baptist: 27.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 90.0 85
UTAH Score 76.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 27.9 40.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.7 / 10.1 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 1.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 40.5 49.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 72.7 78.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 35.9 30.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.1 / 7.0 8.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.5 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CBU
UTAH
CBU
ML
56% 18-14
50% 17-17
67% 20-10
76% 25-8
ATS
56% 18-14
53% 18-16
67% 20-10
76% 25-8
TTL
41% 13-19
47% 16-18
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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