AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
0%
GREEN WAVE
100%
ZIPS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AKR -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
AKR By 1-7 points
6.8%
AKR By 8-14 points
16.9%
TULN By 1-7 points
1.4%
TULN By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
78
AKRON
Tulane
57
TULANE
Simulated Score
Akron
68
AKRON
Tulane
75
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Zips (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
AKR @ TULN
88 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+39.9% more
Akron: 22.1
vs
Tulane: 13.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.4%
Akron: 57.3%
vs
Tulane: 44.9%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.7% more
Akron: 34.7
vs
Tulane: 30.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.4%
Akron: 44.7%
vs
Tulane: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
78.0
88
TULN Score
57.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 44.7
21.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.3 / 22.1
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.3
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 57.3
39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 71.1
73.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 34.7
28.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.8
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 9.8
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
AKR
TULN
AKR
ML
70%
23-10
71%
24-10
47%
15-17
65%
22-12
ATS
62%
20-12-1
76%
26-8
47%
15-17
65%
22-12
TTL
55%
18-15
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0