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NEW HAVEN

CHARGERSNHVN

5-5  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 12:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

5-5  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
CHARGERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Boston College)
ChargersNHVN (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

0.0%

Eagles Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

NHVN By 1-7 points

0.0%

NHVN By 8-14 points

0.0%

BC By 1-7 points

0.4%

BC By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
38
NEW HAVEN
72
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
60
NEW HAVEN
82
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u128.5 Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u128.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 NHVN @ BC 63 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.0% more
Boston College: 5.1 vs New Haven: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5) +11.6%
Boston College: 73.4% vs New Haven: 61.8%
Steals (L5) +65.3% more
New Haven: 9.4 vs Boston College: 3.3
Assists (L5) +38.1% more
New Haven: 18.4 vs Boston College: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NHVN Score 38.0 63
BC Score 72.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 34.4 40.0 / 23.0
Assists 11.4 / 18.4 6.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.7 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.0 / 49.7 42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 61.8 74.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 39.9 34.0 / 31.0
Steals 3.3 / 9.4 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 11.0 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NHVN Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NHVN Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -3.5
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
NHVN
BC
NHVN
ML
61% 19-12
71% 22-9
61% 17-11
68% 21-10
ATS
73% 22-8-1
74% 23-8
61% 17-11
68% 21-10
TTL
61% 19-12
42% 13-18
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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