AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
HAWKS
--
YELLOW JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)
MONM By 1-7 points
0.4%
MONM By 8-14 points
0.0%
GT By 1-7 points
2.7%
GT By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
70
MONMOUTH
Georgia Tech
96
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
Monmouth
65
MONMOUTH
Georgia Tech
78
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
MONM @ GT
67 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.5% more
Georgia Tech: 16.9
vs
Monmouth: 13.5
Rebounding (L5)
+18.3% more
Georgia Tech: 39.4
vs
Monmouth: 33.3
Steals (L5)
+25.1% more
Monmouth: 8.9
vs
Georgia Tech: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.0%
Monmouth: 76.8%
vs
Georgia Tech: 60.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
70.0
67
GT Score
96.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 34.7
40.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.9 / 13.5
16.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 46.0
48.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
60.8 / 76.8
81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 33.3
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.6 / 8.9
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 10.1
15.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
MONM
GT
MONM
ML
61%
19-12
62%
21-13
63%
19-11
64%
21-12
ATS
55%
17-14
62%
21-13
63%
19-11
64%
21-12
TTL
61%
19-12
59%
20-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0