OLD DOMINION
MONARCHSODU
3-6 | Road
77
RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
7-1 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
SPIDERS
0%
MONARCHS
--
SPIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
94.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Richmond)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICH -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)
ODU By 1-7 points
2.7%
ODU By 8-14 points
0.5%
RICH By 1-7 points
10.7%
RICH By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Old Dominion
38
OLD DOMINION
Richmond
56
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
Old Dominion
68
OLD DOMINION
Richmond
72
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spiders (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Spiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 94.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
ODU @ RICH
77 - 86
Dec 19, 2021
ODU @ RICH
61 - 67
Dec 18, 2019
RICH @ ODU
62 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.4% more
Richmond: 7.4
vs
Old Dominion: 5.5
Rebounding (L5)
+14.8% more
Richmond: 36.5
vs
Old Dominion: 31.8
Assists (L5)
+11.3% more
Richmond: 14.7
vs
Old Dominion: 13.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Richmond: 42.1%
vs
Old Dominion: 35.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ODU Score
38.0
77
RICH Score
56.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 35.8
29.0 / 24.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.2
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.1
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 43.5
48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 76.6
64.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 31.8
45.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.4 / 5.5
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 12.2
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
RICH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
ODU
RICH
ODU
ML
53%
17-15
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
ATS
44%
14-18
70%
23-10
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
TTL
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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