HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
5-6 | Road
69
FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
6-4 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
0%
PALADINS
100%
CRIMSON
--
PALADINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HARV -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
HARV By 1-7 points
26.8%
HARV By 8-14 points
24.3%
FUR By 1-7 points
16.9%
FUR By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
64
HARVARD
Furman
58
FURMAN
Simulated Score
Harvard
74
HARVARD
Furman
77
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crimson
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crimson (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Paladins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
HARV @ FUR
69 - 79
Dec 21, 2024
FUR @ HARV
77 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.9% more
Harvard: 8.2
vs
Furman: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+24.0%
Harvard: 86.0%
vs
Furman: 62.0%
Blocks (L5)
+80.5% more
Furman: 4.5
vs
Harvard: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+26.6% more
Furman: 17.6
vs
Harvard: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
64.0
69
FUR Score
58.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 28.0
29.0 / 39.0
Assists
17.6 / 13.9
13.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.5 / 2.5
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 44.3
57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
62.0 / 86.0
80.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 32.9
33.0 / 25.0
Steals
4.1 / 8.2
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.7
16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
HARV
FUR
HARV
ML
71%
25-10
45%
13-16
62%
21-13
52%
15-14
ATS
63%
22-13
45%
13-16
62%
21-13
52%
15-14
TTL
57%
20-15
41%
12-17
100%
34-0
100%
29-0
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