MARSHALL
THUNDERING HERDMRSH
5-3 | Road
81
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
2-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERING HERD
100%
BOBCATS
0%
THUNDERING HERD
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
MRSH By 1-7 points
15.3%
MRSH By 8-14 points
5.8%
OHIO By 1-7 points
26.2%
OHIO By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Marshall
61
MARSHALL
Ohio
68
OHIO
Simulated Score
Marshall
72
MARSHALL
Ohio
78
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.0
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u158.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
MRSH @ OHIO
81 - 88
Dec 14, 2024
OHIO @ MRSH
70 - 79
Dec 9, 2023
MRSH @ OHIO
74 - 69
Dec 3, 2022
OHIO @ MRSH
69 - 83
Dec 15, 2021
MRSH @ OHIO
65 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+40.5% more
Ohio: 6.8
vs
Marshall: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+46.4% more
Marshall: 4.3
vs
Ohio: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Marshall: 14.9
vs
Ohio: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Marshall: 84.8%
vs
Ohio: 77.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MRSH Score
61.0
81
OHIO Score
68.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 33.6
42.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.4 / 14.9
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.3 / 4.3
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 43.5
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 84.8
69.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 36.9
31.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.9
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.1
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRSH
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -1.8
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRSH
10-20-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -1.8
OHIO
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
MRSH
OHIO
MRSH
ML
65%
20-11
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
62%
18-11
ATS
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
62%
18-11
TTL
61%
19-12
50%
15-15
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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