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COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

8-0  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 5:00 PM ET
Moby Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

6-2  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
BUFFALOES --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Colorado State)
BuffaloesCOLO (-3.5) 0 RamsCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buffaloes Cover

0.0%

Rams Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSU -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)

COLO By 1-7 points

0.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

0.0%

CSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

CSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
35
COLORADO
107
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
75
COLORADO
78
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 COLO @ CSU 86 - 91
Dec 7, 2024 CSU @ COLO 55 - 72
Nov 29, 2023 COLO @ CSU 83 - 88
Dec 8, 2022 CSU @ COLO 65 - 93
Dec 13, 2019 COLO @ CSU 56 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.1% more
Colorado State: 19.6 vs Colorado: 15.8
Turnovers (L5) +19.6% more
Colorado State: 11.9 vs Colorado: 10.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Colorado State: 49.3% vs Colorado: 41.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Colorado State: 54.2% vs Colorado: 48.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 35.0 86
CSU Score 107.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 49.3 / 41.4 51.0 / 37.0
Assists 19.6 / 15.8 15.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.4 / 5.2 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 54.2 / 48.2 54.0 / 62.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 74.5 76.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 39.0 26.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.5 / 4.9 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 10.0 11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
CSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
CSU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
COLO
CSU
COLO
ML
56% 19-15
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
69% 22-10
ATS
62% 21-13
73% 24-9
65% 20-11
69% 22-10
TTL
56% 19-15
45% 15-18
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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