Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Mountaineers WAKE @ WVU

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

7-3  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 6:00 PM ET
Charleston Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

7-3  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
DEMON DEACONS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (West Virginia)
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

46.0%

Mountaineers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

WAKE By 1-7 points

24.3%

WAKE By 8-14 points

13.7%

WVU By 1-7 points

26.2%

WVU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
WAKE FOREST
39
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
72
WAKE FOREST
76
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 WAKE @ WVU 75 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.7% more
West Virginia: 4.5 vs Wake Forest: 3.6
Rebounding (L5) +20.3% more
West Virginia: 39.9 vs Wake Forest: 33.1
Turnovers (L5) +27.6% more
Wake Forest: 12.4 vs West Virginia: 8.9
Free Throw % (L5) +11.2%
Wake Forest: 77.7% vs West Virginia: 66.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 38.0 75
WVU Score 39.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 31.6 21.0 / 40.0
Assists 15.7 / 14.6 9.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.6 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 44.5 40.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 77.7 75.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 33.1 36.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.1 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 12.4 18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
WAKE
WVU
WAKE
ML
63% 22-13
49% 17-18
76% 26-8
61% 20-13
ATS
60% 21-14
66% 23-12
76% 26-8
61% 20-13
TTL
40% 14-21
60% 21-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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