WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
6-3 | Road
84
USC
TROJANSUSC
8-1 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
TROJANS
0%
HUSKIES
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (USC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USC -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
WASH By 1-7 points
0.0%
WASH By 8-14 points
0.0%
USC By 1-7 points
0.0%
USC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
57
WASHINGTON
USC
107
USC
Simulated Score
Washington
74
WASHINGTON
USC
78
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trojans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
USC @ WASH
79 - 83
Mar 4, 2026
USC @ WASH
72 - 91
Dec 6, 2025
WASH @ USC
84 - 76
Mar 5, 2025
WASH @ USC
61 - 92
Dec 7, 2024
USC @ WASH
85 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+50.7% more
USC: 4.5
vs
Washington: 3.0
Steals (L5)
+13.7% more
USC: 6.7
vs
Washington: 5.9
Turnovers (L5)
+12.7% more
USC: 13.5
vs
Washington: 12.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
USC: 51.5%
vs
Washington: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
57.0
84
USC Score
107.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 38.5
35.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.4 / 13.0
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 44.3
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 78.2
86.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 37.2
31.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.9
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 12.0
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
USC
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
WASH
USC
WASH
ML
52%
16-15
45%
15-18
58%
18-13
66%
21-11
ATS
68%
21-10
48%
16-17
58%
18-13
66%
21-11
TTL
68%
21-10
70%
23-10
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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