WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
5-4 | Road
74
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
7-1 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
SHOCKERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
WICH By 1-7 points
16.9%
WICH By 8-14 points
6.8%
UNI By 1-7 points
26.8%
UNI By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
73
WICHITA STATE
Northern Iowa
79
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Wichita State
68
WICHITA STATE
Northern Iowa
72
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
WICH @ UNI
74 - 69
Nov 14, 2024
UNI @ WICH
73 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+94.9% more
Northern Iowa: 9.1
vs
Wichita State: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+46.3% more
Northern Iowa: 18.8
vs
Wichita State: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Northern Iowa: 39.0%
vs
Wichita State: 36.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Northern Iowa: 49.2%
vs
Wichita State: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
73.0
74
UNI Score
79.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 36.1
17.0 / 36.0
Assists
18.8 / 12.9
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.6
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 47.7
44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 75.3
55.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 40.2
33.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.1 / 4.7
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 10.2
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
UNI
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
UNI
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
WICH
UNI
WICH
ML
51%
18-17
61%
22-14
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
ATS
49%
17-18
64%
23-13
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
TTL
69%
24-11
69%
25-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
Miami's Bye Week Blueprint: Top Games to Scout for Week 6
Kentucky Fans Weigh In on Senate Bill That Could Transform Colle…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
Lee University Basketball Alum Todd Amburgy: A Legacy of Defense…