Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Friars URI @ PROV

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

7-2  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 12:00 PM ET
Amica Mutual Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PROVIDENCE

FRIARSPROV

5-4  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
FRIARS
0%
RAMS --
FRIARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PROVIDENCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Providence)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 FriarsPROV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

18.4%

Friars Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PROV -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PROV)

URI By 1-7 points

12.2%

URI By 8-14 points

4.0%

PROV By 1-7 points

24.3%

PROV By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
RHODE ISLAND
80
PROVIDENCE
Simulated Score
68
RHODE ISLAND
75
PROVIDENCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Friars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Friars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Friars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Friars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 URI @ PROV 71 - 90
Dec 7, 2024 PROV @ URI 63 - 69
Dec 2, 2023 URI @ PROV 69 - 84
Dec 3, 2022 PROV @ URI 88 - 74
Dec 4, 2021 URI @ PROV 52 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +49.6% more
Providence: 18.5 vs Rhode Island: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.2%
Providence: 41.4% vs Rhode Island: 29.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +9.0%
Providence: 78.7% vs Rhode Island: 69.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Providence: 49.5% vs Rhode Island: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 71.0 71
PROV Score 80.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.4 / 29.1 48.0 / 48.0
Assists 18.5 / 12.4 19.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.3 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 47.2 57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 69.7 74.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 35.7 34.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.9 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 11.0 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
PROV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
PROV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
PROV
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PROV
URI
PROV
URI
ML
59% 19-13
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
ATS
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
TTL
44% 14-18
56% 18-14
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 9 hours, 9 minutes ago
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day, 3 hours ago
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
courant 1 day, 8 hours ago
NYT Mini Crossword Solutions for October 6: Tricky Clues Solved
cnet 2 days, 22 hours ago
College Football Week 5: Northwestern's Rise, Big Ten Coaches Un…
theathleticuk 4 days, 21 hours ago