YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
6-4 | Road
78
IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
3-8 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
JAGUARS
100%
PENGUINS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Youngstown State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YSU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)
YSU By 1-7 points
26.2%
YSU By 8-14 points
25.3%
IUIN By 1-7 points
15.3%
IUIN By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Youngstown State
74
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
IU Indianapolis
67
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Youngstown State
74
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
IU Indianapolis
69
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
IUIN @ YSU
76 - 85
Dec 6, 2025
YSU @ IUIN
78 - 55
Feb 1, 2025
IUIN @ YSU
84 - 79
Jan 1, 2025
YSU @ IUIN
77 - 61
Jan 25, 2024
YSU @ IUIN
78 - 50
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
Youngstown State: 15.5
vs
IU Indianapolis: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Youngstown State: 35.5%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 33.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Youngstown State: 45.8%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 44.3%
Assists (L5)
+58.6% more
IU Indianapolis: 22.0
vs
Youngstown State: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YSU Score
74.0
78
IUIN Score
67.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 35.5
16.0 / 33.0
Assists
22.0 / 13.9
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 45.8
33.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 67.2
68.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 35.3
29.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.7
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 15.5
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YSU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YSU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
YSU
IUIN
YSU
ML
69%
22-10
57%
17-13
78%
25-7
67%
20-10
ATS
66%
21-11
47%
14-16
78%
25-7
67%
20-10
TTL
50%
16-16
60%
18-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
