MARQUETTE
GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ
5-4 | Road
76
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
6-2 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
BADGERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
MARQ By 1-7 points
2.2%
MARQ By 8-14 points
0.4%
WIS By 1-7 points
9.3%
WIS By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Marquette
36
MARQUETTE
Wisconsin
55
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Marquette
69
MARQUETTE
Wisconsin
73
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Badgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Badgers (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
MARQ @ WIS
76 - 96
Dec 7, 2024
WIS @ MARQ
74 - 88
Dec 2, 2023
MARQ @ WIS
64 - 75
Dec 3, 2022
WIS @ MARQ
80 - 77
Dec 4, 2021
MARQ @ WIS
76 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.0% more
Wisconsin: 3.0
vs
Marquette: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Wisconsin: 82.0%
vs
Marquette: 74.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Wisconsin: 42.4%
vs
Marquette: 40.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+10.4% more
Marquette: 11.3
vs
Wisconsin: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MARQ Score
36.0
76
WIS Score
55.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 31.0
42.0 / 31.0
Assists
15.9 / 14.7
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 40.6
48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 74.9
83.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 37.6
46.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.6
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.3
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MARQ
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.5
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MARQ
12-19-1
(38.7%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.5
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.5
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
MARQ
WIS
MARQ
ML
60%
21-14
59%
19-13
69%
24-11
62%
20-12
ATS
51%
18-17
53%
17-15
69%
24-11
62%
20-12
TTL
57%
20-15
50%
16-16
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…
Gonzaga Offers 2028 Wisconsin Wing Joey Kohnen, Joins Growing Re…
Kentucky vs. Kansas Tip-Off Time Announced for 2026-27 Champions…
Houston Cougars Unveil Loaded 2026-27 Basketball Schedule with M…