COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
13-9-5 | Road
6
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
12-12-2 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 6.51 | 0.825 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.51
GAA
--
0.825
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CBJ By 1 goal
17.5%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
FLA By 1 goal
6.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Florida
1
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
CBJ @ FLA
1 - 2
Mar 5, 2026
FLA @ CBJ
2 - 4
Dec 6, 2025
CBJ @ FLA
6 - 7
Mar 20, 2025
FLA @ CBJ
1 - 0
Mar 6, 2025
CBJ @ FLA
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+29.7%
Columbus: 32.3%
vs
Florida: 2.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+14.3%
Columbus: 53.9%
vs
Florida: 39.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.0% more
Columbus: 12.3
vs
Florida: 10.9
Takeaways (L5)
+9.1% more
Columbus: 5.3
vs
Florida: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.0
6
FLA Score
1.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.9 / 12.3
7.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
39.6 / 53.9
57.4 / 42.6
Hits
24.6 / 20.5
30.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
2.6 / 32.3
50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 29.5
40.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CBJ
FLA
CBJ
ML
0%
0-4
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
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