ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
9-12-7 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
13-10-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 1.00 | 0.976 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.07 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.07
0.976 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
SENATORS
0%
BLUES
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
STL By 1 goal
2.8%
STL By 2-3 goals
1.2%
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
STL @ OTT
2 - 1
Nov 28, 2025
OTT @ STL
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
OTT @ STL
1 - 7
Jan 3, 2025
OTT @ STL
0 - 4
Oct 29, 2024
STL @ OTT
1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+70.1% more
Ottawa: 5.8
vs
St. Louis: 3.4
Power Play % (L5)
+22.7%
Ottawa: 26.2%
vs
St. Louis: 3.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.9% more
Ottawa: 14.6
vs
St. Louis: 12.1
Hits (L5)
+11.5% more
Ottawa: 25.6
vs
St. Louis: 22.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.0
2
OTT Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 12.1
10.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 52.6
49.3 / 50.7
Hits
25.6 / 22.9
25.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
26.2 / 3.5
14.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 28.4
42.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 3.4
7.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
STL
OTT
STL
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
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