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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

19-2-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 12:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

15-12-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 1.91 0.926 --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 2.93 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.91 Ldr GAA 2.93
0.926 Save % Ldr 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
AVALANCHE --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Colorado)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

97.7%

Rangers Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1 goal

6.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NYR By 1 goal

0.9%

NYR By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
COLORADO
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Avalanche Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Avalanche (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 COL @ NYR 3 - 2
Nov 20, 2025 NYR @ COL 3 - 6
Jan 26, 2025 COL @ NYR 5 - 4
Jan 14, 2025 NYR @ COL 2 - 3
Mar 28, 2024 NYR @ COL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +31.0% more
Colorado: 4.4 vs New York: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.1% more
Colorado: 35.5 vs New York: 28.0
Hits (L5) +30.9% more
New York: 25.6 vs Colorado: 19.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +8.9% more
New York: 14.6 vs Colorado: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 5.0 3
NYR Score 1.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.6 / 13.4 18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 54.1 / 53.3 57.6 / 42.4
Hits 25.6 / 19.6 32.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 956.0 / 616.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.0 / 35.5 27.0 / 42.0
Takeaways 3.0 / 4.4 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
64%MONEY36%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
COL
NYR
COL
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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