Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Knicks UTAH @ NY

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

8-13  |  Road

112
FINAL
Fri, Dec 5 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

14-7  |  Home

146
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
JAZZ --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (New York)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

15.9%

Knicks Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

UTAH By 1-7 points

10.7%

UTAH By 8-14 points

3.3%

NY By 1-7 points

23.0%

NY By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
102
UTAH
112
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
108
UTAH
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u242.0 Loss
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim u242.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 NY @ UTAH 134 - 117
Dec 5, 2025 UTAH @ NY 112 - 146
Jan 1, 2025 UTAH @ NY 103 - 119
Nov 23, 2024 NY @ UTAH 106 - 121
Jan 30, 2024 UTAH @ NY 103 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.4% more
New York: 4.1 vs Utah: 3.1
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Utah: 14.3 vs New York: 12.2
Assists (L5) +12.8% more
Utah: 31.6 vs New York: 27.6
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
Utah: 84.2% vs New York: 79.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 102.0 112
NY Score 112.0 146
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 41.6 50.0 / 36.0
Assists 27.6 / 31.6 30.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.1 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 48.6 56.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 79.3 / 84.2 88.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 43.8 / 42.6 46.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.1 / 7.6 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 14.3 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
UTAH
NY
UTAH
ML
61% 114-72
60% 96-63
56% 57-45
48% 40-43
ATS
67% 124-62
68% 108-51
56% 57-45
48% 40-43
TTL
72% 133-53
75% 119-39-1
100% 102-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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