LA
CLIPPERSLAC
6-16 | Road
98
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
9-13 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
CLIPPERS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
2.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
MEM By 1-7 points
0.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
125
LA
Memphis
98
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
LA
113
LA
Memphis
118
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
LAC @ MEM
123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025
MEM @ LAC
121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025
LAC @ MEM
98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025
MEM @ LAC
112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025
MEM @ LAC
108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.3% more
LA: 9.2
vs
Memphis: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
LA: 86.0%
vs
Memphis: 79.5%
Blocks (L5)
+103.0% more
Memphis: 6.1
vs
LA: 3.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.6% more
Memphis: 16.3
vs
LA: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
125.0
98
MEM Score
98.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 31.7
36.0 / 32.0
Assists
29.0 / 25.1
28.0 / 22.0
Blocks
6.1 / 3.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 46.9
54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.5 / 86.0
72.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
50.5 / 46.2
42.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.2 / 9.2
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 13.8
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
LAC
MEM
LAC
ML
57%
59-44
60%
59-40
50%
41-41
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38
66%
65-33-1
50%
41-41
55%
45-37
TTL
70%
71-31-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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