INDIANA
PACERSIND
4-18 | Road
120
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
9-12 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
BULLS
100%
PACERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IND -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
IND By 1-7 points
15.3%
IND By 8-14 points
25.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
4.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
125
INDIANA
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Indiana
112
INDIANA
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pacers (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
IND @ CHI
145 - 126
Jan 28, 2026
CHI @ IND
110 - 113
Dec 5, 2025
IND @ CHI
120 - 105
Nov 29, 2025
CHI @ IND
101 - 103
Mar 10, 2025
IND @ CHI
103 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.8% more
Indiana: 6.4
vs
Chicago: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Indiana: 38.0%
vs
Chicago: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Indiana: 48.9%
vs
Chicago: 45.6%
Steals (L5)
+37.7% more
Chicago: 9.3
vs
Indiana: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
125.0
120
CHI Score
110.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 38.0
37.0 / 46.0
Assists
25.6 / 22.9
21.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.0 / 6.4
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 48.9
44.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 75.7
83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 40.0
46.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.3 / 6.8
7.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 13.7
19.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
IND
CHI
IND
ML
56%
54-42
48%
47-50
57%
46-35
54%
45-38
ATS
65%
62-33-1
59%
57-40
57%
46-35
54%
45-38
TTL
58%
56-40
54%
52-45
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up