SAMFORD
BULLDOGSSAM
4-6 | Road
57
VCU
RAMSVCU
6-3 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
RAMS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
SAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
SAM By 8-14 points
13.7%
VCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
VCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Samford
84
SAMFORD
VCU
85
VCU
Simulated Score
Samford
65
SAMFORD
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
SAM @ VCU
57 - 83
Nov 10, 2023
SAM @ VCU
65 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+56.9% more
VCU: 8.0
vs
Samford: 5.1
Assists (L5)
+27.7% more
VCU: 12.7
vs
Samford: 9.9
Blocks (L5)
+16.9% more
VCU: 3.7
vs
Samford: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.3%
VCU: 71.7%
vs
Samford: 60.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAM Score
84.0
57
VCU Score
85.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 28.0
43.0 / 10.0
Assists
12.7 / 9.9
17.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.2
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 36.7
45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 60.4
59.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 35.7
52.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.1
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.7
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAM
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAM
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SAM
18-11-1
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
SAM
VCU
SAM
ML
72%
26-10
65%
20-11
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
ATS
81%
29-7
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
TTL
58%
21-15
35%
11-20
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
Iowa State's Two-Center Experiment: Will Buchanan and Pleta Shar…
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…