Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Gaels QUIN @ IONA

QUINNIPIAC

BOBCATSQUIN

6-3  |  Road

89
FINAL
Fri, Dec 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Hynes Athletics Center
View Odds Details →

IONA

GAELSIONA

6-3  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
📊
GAELS
0%
BOBCATS --
GAELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Iona)
BobcatsQUIN (-3.5) 0 GaelsIONA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

4.5%

Gaels Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IONA -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)

QUIN By 1-7 points

3.3%

QUIN By 8-14 points

0.6%

IONA By 1-7 points

12.2%

IONA By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
69
QUINNIPIAC
86
IONA
Simulated Score
71
QUINNIPIAC
76
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gaels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gaels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gaels (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Gaels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 5, 2025 QUIN @ IONA 89 - 68
Mar 14, 2025 IONA @ QUIN 81 - 73
Feb 16, 2025 IONA @ QUIN 74 - 79
Jan 12, 2025 QUIN @ IONA 63 - 62
Mar 1, 2024 QUIN @ IONA 82 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +13.9% more
Iona: 37.1 vs Quinnipiac: 32.6
Assists (L5) +10.4% more
Iona: 14.9 vs Quinnipiac: 13.5
Blocks (L5) +27.8% more
Quinnipiac: 5.5 vs Iona: 3.9
Steals (L5) +24.7% more
Quinnipiac: 9.3 vs Iona: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score 69.0 89
IONA Score 86.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 45.8 22.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.9 / 13.5 15.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 47.6 37.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 74.2 68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 32.6 35.0 / 49.0
Steals 7.0 / 9.3 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 11.0 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
IONA
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1 (43.3%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
IONA Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -0.9
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
QUIN
IONA
QUIN
ML
41% 13-19
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
ATS
53% 17-15
59% 19-13
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
TTL
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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