UAB
BLAZERSUAB
7-3 | Road
74
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
6-4 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
BLAZERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAB -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
UAB By 1-7 points
6.8%
UAB By 8-14 points
16.9%
DRKE By 1-7 points
1.4%
DRKE By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
76
UAB
Drake
55
DRAKE
Simulated Score
UAB
71
UAB
Drake
76
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blazers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
UAB @ DRKE
74 - 69
Dec 22, 2023
DRKE @ UAB
78 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.5% more
UAB: 7.9
vs
Drake: 4.9
Rebounding (L5)
+17.4% more
UAB: 43.5
vs
Drake: 35.9
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
UAB: 9.4
vs
Drake: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+96.8% more
Drake: 4.3
vs
UAB: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
76.0
74
DRKE Score
55.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.9 / 26.3
38.0 / 21.0
Assists
18.2 / 14.0
11.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.2
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
54.4 / 41.2
39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 73.5
75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 43.5
30.0 / 44.0
Steals
4.9 / 7.9
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 9.4
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
UAB
DRKE
UAB
ML
59%
20-14
59%
19-13
38%
13-21
41%
13-19
ATS
85%
29-5
56%
18-14
38%
13-21
41%
13-19
TTL
56%
19-15
69%
22-10
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…