VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
12-6-8 | Road
3
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
16-10-1 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
DEVILS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
NJ @ VGK
2 - 1
Dec 5, 2025
VGK @ NJ
3 - 0
Mar 2, 2025
NJ @ VGK
0 - 2
Feb 6, 2025
VGK @ NJ
3 - 1
Mar 17, 2024
NJ @ VGK
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+33.2% more
New Jersey: 22.4
vs
Vegas: 16.9
Takeaways (L5)
+9.1% more
New Jersey: 4.5
vs
Vegas: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.8% more
Vegas: 15.0
vs
New Jersey: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
3
NJ Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.4 / 15.0
11.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
52.4 / 51.5
53.2 / 46.8
Hits
22.4 / 16.9
15.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
17.8 / 18.5
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 29.0
24.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.1
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
VGK
NJ
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-2-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
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