BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
11-12-4 | Road
1
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
13-12-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.08 | 0.864 | -- |
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.08
GAA
--
0.864
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
JETS
0%
SABRES
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
BUF By 1 goal
12.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
BUF @ WPG
1 - 4
Dec 1, 2025
WPG @ BUF
1 - 5
Mar 23, 2025
BUF @ WPG
5 - 3
Dec 5, 2024
WPG @ BUF
3 - 2
Mar 3, 2024
WPG @ BUF
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+48.3% more
Winnipeg: 25.9
vs
Buffalo: 17.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
Winnipeg: 15.6
vs
Buffalo: 14.0
Takeaways (L5)
+24.5% more
Buffalo: 5.1
vs
Winnipeg: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.7% more
Buffalo: 31.0
vs
Winnipeg: 26.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.0
1
WPG Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 14.0
9.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
47.2 / 47.3
53.6 / 46.4
Hits
25.9 / 17.4
33.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
7.2 / 16.4
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 31.0
23.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.1
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
BUF
WPG
BUF
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener
Matthew Knies Ignites Blue Jackets Debut with Record-Setting Per…
Buffalo Bills Face Backlash Over Water Bottle Policy at Highmark…