UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
13-12-3 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
10-14-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 3.07 | 0.824 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.07
0.970 Ldr
Save %
0.824
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
CANUCKS
100%
MAMMOTH
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
UTA @ VAN
7 - 4
Feb 2, 2026
VAN @ UTA
2 - 6
Dec 5, 2025
UTA @ VAN
4 - 1
Mar 16, 2025
UTA @ VAN
3 - 1
Feb 23, 2025
VAN @ UTA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.4% more
Utah: 17.6
vs
Vancouver: 12.1
Hits (L5)
+24.1% more
Utah: 22.3
vs
Vancouver: 16.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.4% more
Utah: 30.3
vs
Vancouver: 24.7
Power Play % (L5)
+9.0%
Utah: 18.4%
vs
Vancouver: 9.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
4
VAN Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.1 / 17.6
12.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
48.5 / 51.1
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
16.9 / 22.3
21.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
9.5 / 18.4
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
24.7 / 30.3
33.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.3
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
UTA
VAN
UTA
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
TTL
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
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