WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
17-9-2 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
16-10-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ville Husso
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.77 | 0.921 | -- |
| Ville Husso | None-None | 2.78 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77 Ldr
GAA
2.78
0.921 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
DUCKS
100%
CAPITALS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1 goal
6.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
ANA By 1 goal
0.9%
ANA By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Anaheim
1
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 5, 2026
ANA @ WSH
4 - 7
Dec 5, 2025
WSH @ ANA
3 - 4
Mar 11, 2025
WSH @ ANA
7 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
ANA @ WSH
0 - 3
Jan 16, 2024
ANA @ WSH
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+30.8%
Washington: 37.7%
vs
Anaheim: 6.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Washington: 50.0%
vs
Anaheim: 46.8%
Hits (L5)
+23.1% more
Anaheim: 19.8
vs
Washington: 16.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
5.0
3
ANA Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 16.4
19.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
46.8 / 50.0
54.0 / 46.0
Hits
19.8 / 16.1
18.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
690.0 / 3771.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 28.4
38.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.8
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
WSH
ANA
WSH
ML
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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