Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Nets UTAH @ BKN

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

7-13  |  Road

123
FINAL
Thu, Dec 4 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

5-16  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
📊
NETS
100%
JAZZ --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Utah)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

99.7%

Nets Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-7 points

1.7%

UTAH By 8-14 points

6.8%

BKN By 1-7 points

0.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
130
UTAH
102
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
112
UTAH
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jazz Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jazz (+5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o231.5 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 BKN @ UTAH 109 - 99
Dec 4, 2025 UTAH @ BKN 123 - 110
Jan 12, 2025 BKN @ UTAH 111 - 112
Dec 21, 2024 UTAH @ BKN 105 - 94
Jan 29, 2024 UTAH @ BKN 114 - 147
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +13.9% more
Utah: 31.9 vs Brooklyn: 27.5
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Utah: 44.3 vs Brooklyn: 40.3
Free Throw % (L5) +2.6%
Utah: 79.8% vs Brooklyn: 77.1%
Blocks (L5) +26.3% more
Brooklyn: 5.2 vs Utah: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 130.0 123
BKN Score 102.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 34.4 26.0 / 56.0
Assists 27.5 / 31.9 22.0 / 31.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.1 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 47.4 43.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 79.8 76.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 44.3 44.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.5 / 8.0 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.9 / 15.0 18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH Advantage
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
UTAH
BKN
UTAH
ML
53% 50-45
60% 96-63
59% 48-34
48% 40-43
ATS
52% 48-44-3
68% 108-51
59% 48-34
48% 40-43
TTL
57% 54-41
75% 119-39-1
100% 82-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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