Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Anteaters UCR @ UCI

UC RIVERSIDE

HIGHLANDERSUCR

4-5  |  Road

60
FINAL
Thu, Dec 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

6-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
📊
ANTEATERS
0%
HIGHLANDERS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (UC Irvine)
HighlandersUCR (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

24.2%

Anteaters Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

UCR By 1-7 points

15.3%

UCR By 8-14 points

5.8%

UCI By 1-7 points

26.2%

UCI By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
81
UC RIVERSIDE
88
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
65
UC RIVERSIDE
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Anteaters (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Anteaters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 UCI @ UCR 80 - 66
Dec 4, 2025 UCR @ UCI 60 - 73
Jan 23, 2025 UCI @ UCR 80 - 84
Jan 4, 2025 UCR @ UCI 57 - 81
Feb 10, 2024 UCI @ UCR 78 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +72.7% more
UC Irvine: 7.1 vs UC Riverside: 4.1
Blocks (L5) +32.6% more
UC Irvine: 5.7 vs UC Riverside: 4.3
Rebounding (L5) +25.1% more
UC Irvine: 39.7 vs UC Riverside: 31.8
Assists (L5) +17.1% more
UC Irvine: 13.2 vs UC Riverside: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCR Score 81.0 60
UCI Score 88.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.9 / 34.5 56.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.2 / 11.2 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.7 / 4.3 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 49.8 44.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 65.4 / 73.2 65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 39.7 / 31.8 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.1 / 4.1 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 13.7 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCR
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCR
14-14-2 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.3
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
UCR
UCI
UCR
ML
57% 20-15
66% 21-11
53% 18-16
75% 24-8
ATS
63% 22-13
59% 19-13
53% 18-16
75% 24-8
TTL
57% 20-15
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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