ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
6-3 | Road
80
GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
4-5 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
PHOENIX
0%
COLONIALS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GB -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
RMU By 1-7 points
0.8%
RMU By 8-14 points
0.1%
GB By 1-7 points
4.8%
GB By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Robert Morris
59
ROBERT MORRIS
Green Bay
82
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Robert Morris
68
ROBERT MORRIS
Green Bay
75
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
GB @ RMU
71 - 67
Dec 4, 2025
RMU @ GB
80 - 78
Feb 21, 2025
GB @ RMU
85 - 94
Jan 17, 2025
RMU @ GB
89 - 67
Feb 8, 2024
GB @ RMU
81 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.3%
Green Bay: 71.6%
vs
Robert Morris: 55.3%
Blocks (L5)
+29.2% more
Robert Morris: 3.4
vs
Green Bay: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+26.2% more
Robert Morris: 17.8
vs
Green Bay: 13.1
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Robert Morris: 10.7
vs
Green Bay: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RMU Score
59.0
80
GB Score
82.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 36.2
31.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.1 / 17.8
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.4
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 47.3
52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 55.3
81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 39.9
24.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.4
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.7
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
GB
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
GB
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
RMU
GB
RMU
ML
48%
16-17
36%
12-21
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
ATS
52%
17-16
55%
18-15
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
TTL
58%
19-14
55%
18-15
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
