MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
15-7-5 | Road
1
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
9-15-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.14 | 0.900 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.14
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.900
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
FLAMES
0%
WILD
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
MIN By 1 goal
6.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
3.7%
CGY By 1 goal
17.5%
CGY By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
CGY @ MIN
1 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
MIN @ CGY
1 - 4
Nov 9, 2025
CGY @ MIN
0 - 2
Apr 11, 2025
MIN @ CGY
2 - 4
Jan 25, 2025
CGY @ MIN
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+16.5%
Calgary: 20.9%
vs
Minnesota: 4.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.7% more
Calgary: 17.7
vs
Minnesota: 16.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.7%
Calgary: 52.4%
vs
Minnesota: 44.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+30.8% more
Minnesota: 6.0
vs
Calgary: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.0
1
CGY Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 16.2
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
52.4 / 44.7
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
21.9 / 23.2
22.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
2092.0 / 442.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 26.5
31.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 6.0
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
MIN
CGY
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
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