NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
14-12-2 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
13-9-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Spence
#10 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Jordan Spence | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.926
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
SENATORS
0%
RANGERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
NYR By 1 goal
2.8%
NYR By 2-3 goals
1.2%
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
1
NEW YORK
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
OTT @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 14, 2026
OTT @ NYR
8 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
NYR @ OTT
4 - 2
Mar 8, 2025
NYR @ OTT
3 - 4
Jan 21, 2025
OTT @ NYR
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+59.0% more
Ottawa: 5.6
vs
New York: 3.5
Hits (L5)
+16.0% more
New York: 28.4
vs
Ottawa: 23.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.4% more
New York: 15.4
vs
Ottawa: 13.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.4% more
New York: 28.0
vs
Ottawa: 24.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
1.0
4
OTT Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 15.4
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 53.7
45.1 / 54.9
Hits
23.9 / 28.4
29.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
5.9 / 14.3
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 28.0
27.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 3.5
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NYR
OTT
NYR
ML
0%
0-3
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
0%
0-3
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
TTL
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
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