COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
19-1-6 | Road
3
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
14-10-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 5.21 | 0.878 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.00 | 0.921 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.21
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.878
Save %
Ldr 0.921
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
New York
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 4, 2025
COL @ NYI
3 - 6
Nov 16, 2025
NYI @ COL
1 - 4
Jan 28, 2025
COL @ NYI
2 - 5
Oct 14, 2024
NYI @ COL
6 - 2
Jan 2, 2024
NYI @ COL
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.8% more
Colorado: 34.3
vs
New York: 29.6
Hits (L5)
+15.1% more
New York: 18.8
vs
Colorado: 16.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.7% more
New York: 15.4
vs
Colorado: 14.1
Power Play % (L5)
+1.8%
New York: 11.0%
vs
Colorado: 9.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
3
NYI Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 14.1
20.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 52.7
45.5 / 54.5
Hits
18.8 / 16.3
18.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
11.0 / 9.2
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 34.3
42.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.1
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
COL
NYI
COL
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1-1
25%
1-3
100%
3-0-1
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3