NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
2-6 | Road
68
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
2-3 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
BIG GREEN
0%
WILDCATS
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
UNH By 1-7 points
15.3%
UNH By 8-14 points
5.8%
DART By 1-7 points
26.2%
DART By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Hampshire
88
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Dartmouth
95
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
New Hampshire
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Dartmouth
72
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
UNH @ DART
68 - 69
Dec 3, 2024
DART @ UNH
69 - 65
Dec 6, 2023
UNH @ DART
64 - 76
Dec 30, 2019
DART @ UNH
56 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+89.5% more
Dartmouth: 4.9
vs
New Hampshire: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+52.0% more
Dartmouth: 17.1
vs
New Hampshire: 11.3
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Dartmouth: 41.4
vs
New Hampshire: 34.7
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Dartmouth: 12.7
vs
New Hampshire: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNH Score
88.0
68
DART Score
95.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 28.7
31.0 / 24.0
Assists
17.1 / 11.3
10.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 37.5
41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 80.2
73.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
41.4 / 34.7
43.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.5
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.4
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
UNH
DART
UNH
ML
62%
16-10
70%
19-8
50%
13-13
74%
20-7
ATS
65%
17-9
67%
18-9
50%
13-13
74%
20-7
TTL
88%
23-3
59%
16-11
100%
26-0
100%
27-0
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