GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
0-9 | Road
74
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
3-5 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
ROYALS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
GWEB By 1-7 points
16.9%
GWEB By 8-14 points
6.8%
QUC By 1-7 points
26.8%
QUC By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Gardner-Webb
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Gardner-Webb
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Queens University
77
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
GWEB @ QUC
74 - 107
Dec 14, 2024
QUC @ GWEB
85 - 83
Nov 29, 2023
GWEB @ QUC
80 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+62.1% more
Queens University: 15.6
vs
Gardner-Webb: 9.6
Rebounding (L5)
+10.2% more
Queens University: 33.8
vs
Gardner-Webb: 30.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Queens University: 44.9%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 39.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Queens University: 76.4%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score
72.0
74
QUC Score
78.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 32.5
52.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.6 / 9.6
23.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.2 / 2.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 39.7
61.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 71.3
59.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 30.7
38.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.3
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 16.2
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
GWEB
QUC
GWEB
ML
71%
25-10
73%
22-8
71%
24-10
63%
19-11
ATS
86%
30-5
73%
22-8
71%
24-10
63%
19-11
TTL
47%
16-18-1
53%
16-14
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
