Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Chargers PHI @ LAC

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

8-4  |  Road

19
FINAL
Mon, Dec 8 • 8:15 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

CHARGERSLAC

8-4  |  Home

22
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
JK Scott
KEY GAME

JK Scott

#16 | Punter
Player
Braden Mann None-None
JK Scott None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
CHARGERS
0%
EAGLES --
CHARGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 ChargersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

41.5%

Chargers Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

PHI By 1-6 points

15.3%

PHI By 7-13 points

12.9%

LAC By 1-6 points

17.0%

LAC By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
17
PHILADELPHIA
20
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
PHILADELPHIA
27
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Chargers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chargers Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Chargers (+1) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Chargers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u42.0 Win
Proj Total: 37.0
D
Sim u42.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 8, 2025 PHI @ LAC 19 - 22
Nov 7, 2021 LAC @ PHI 27 - 24
Oct 1, 2017 PHI @ LAC 26 - 24
Sep 15, 2013 LAC @ PHI 33 - 30
Nov 15, 2009 PHI @ LAC 23 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +26.2% more
Los Angeles: 130.9 vs Philadelphia: 103.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +16.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.5 vs Philadelphia: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +14.6% more
Los Angeles: 18.6 vs Philadelphia: 16.2
Time of Possession (L5) +8.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6 vs Philadelphia: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 17.0 19
LAC Score 20.0 22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.6 / 16.2 16.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 172.3 / 216.8 106.0 / 231.0
Rushing Yards 130.9 / 103.7 169.0 / 134.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.37 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 303.2 / 320.4 275.0 / 365.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.3 3.0 / 5.0
Yards Per Play 4.7 / 5.7 3.9 / 5.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
LAC
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
LAC
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
LAC
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
PHI
LAC
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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