Home / NFL Projections NFL / Titans @ Browns TEN @ CLE

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

1-11  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

3-9  |  Home

29
Key Game
Mohamoud Diabate
KEY GAME

Mohamoud Diabate

#44 | Linebacker
@
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
Player
Mohamoud Diabate None-None
Corey Bojorquez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
BROWNS
0%
TITANS --
BROWNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Cleveland)
TitansTEN (-3.5) 0 BrownsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

30.9%

Browns Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CLE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

TEN By 1-6 points

12.9%

TEN By 7-13 points

9.6%

CLE By 1-6 points

16.5%

CLE By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
20
TENNESSEE
27
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
20
TENNESSEE
24
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Browns Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Browns Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Browns (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Browns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o33.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u33.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 TEN @ CLE 31 - 29
Sep 24, 2023 TEN @ CLE 3 - 27
Dec 6, 2020 CLE @ TEN 41 - 35
Sep 8, 2019 TEN @ CLE 43 - 13
Oct 22, 2017 TEN @ CLE 12 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +55.4% more
Cleveland: 108.7 vs Tennessee: 69.9
Turnovers (L5) +29.8% more
Cleveland: 1.5 vs Tennessee: 1.1
Net Passing Yards (L5) +18.2% more
Tennessee: 168.6 vs Cleveland: 137.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 20.0 31
CLE Score 27.0 29
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.2 / 14.2 22.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards 137.9 / 168.6 351.0 / 108.0
Rushing Yards 108.7 / 69.9 61.0 / 184.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.43 / 0.35
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 246.5 / 238.5 412.0 / 292.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.1 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.4 / 4.1 6.4 / 4.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
TEN
CLE
TEN
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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