Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Cardinals LAR @ ARI

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

9-3  |  Road

45
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 4:25 PM ET
State Farm Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

3-9  |  Home

17
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Chad Ryland
KEY GAME

Chad Ryland

#38 | Place kicker
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Chad Ryland None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
CARDINALS
100%
RAMS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 CardinalsARI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

30.9%

Cardinals Cover

69.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ARI +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)

LAR By 1-6 points

16.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.3%

ARI By 1-6 points

12.9%

ARI By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
27
LOS ANGELES
20
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
27
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u49.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u49.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 ARI @ LAR 20 - 37
Dec 7, 2025 LAR @ ARI 45 - 17
Dec 28, 2024 ARI @ LAR 9 - 13
Sep 15, 2024 LAR @ ARI 10 - 41
Nov 26, 2023 LAR @ ARI 37 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +29.9% more
Los Angeles: 119.8 vs Arizona: 84.0
Yards Per Play (L5) +11.2% more
Los Angeles: 6.2 vs Arizona: 5.5
Net Passing Yards (L5) +26.3% more
Arizona: 289.4 vs Los Angeles: 229.2
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
Arizona: 1.5 vs Los Angeles: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 27.0 45
ARI Score 20.0 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.8 / 21.5 17.0 / 30.0
Net Passing Yards 289.4 / 229.2 263.0 / 281.0
Rushing Yards 84.0 / 119.8 51.0 / 249.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.33 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 373.4 / 349.0 314.0 / 530.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.3 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 6.2 5.1 / 7.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
LAR
ARI
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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