Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Greyhounds @ Pirates L-MD @ HAMP

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

4-5  |  Road

71
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Convocation Center (VA)
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

4-5  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
GREYHOUNDS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
GreyhoundsL-MD (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Greyhounds Cover

99.9%

Pirates Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)

L-MD By 1-7 points

0.6%

L-MD By 8-14 points

3.3%

HAMP By 1-7 points

0.1%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
90
LOYOLA MARYLAND
58
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
68
LOYOLA MARYLAND
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Greyhounds Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Greyhounds (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 L-MD @ HAMP 71 - 93
Dec 21, 2024 HAMP @ L-MD 76 - 68
Dec 7, 2022 L-MD @ HAMP 61 - 66
Dec 12, 2021 HAMP @ L-MD 54 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.1% more
Loyola Maryland: 15.2 vs Hampton: 10.2
Assists (L5) +27.5% more
Loyola Maryland: 18.2 vs Hampton: 13.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
Loyola Maryland: 35.9% vs Hampton: 28.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Loyola Maryland: 50.3% vs Hampton: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score 90.0 71
HAMP Score 58.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 35.9 59.0 / 19.0
Assists 13.2 / 18.2 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.6 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 50.3 58.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 60.7 / 62.2 69.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 37.3 32.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.9 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 15.2 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
L-MD
HAMP
L-MD
ML
53% 17-15
53% 17-15
75% 24-8
66% 21-11
ATS
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
75% 24-8
66% 21-11
TTL
68% 21-10-1
44% 14-18
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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