Home / NBA Projections NBA / Trail Blazers @ Cavaliers POR @ CLE

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

8-13  |  Road

122
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

13-9  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
📊
CAVALIERS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Portland)
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

93.3%

Cavaliers Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

POR By 1-7 points

15.3%

POR By 8-14 points

25.3%

CLE By 1-7 points

4.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
125
PORTLAND
110
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
107
PORTLAND
118
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trail Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trail Blazers (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u240.5 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim u240.5 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 CLE @ POR 130 - 111
Dec 3, 2025 POR @ CLE 122 - 110
Mar 25, 2025 CLE @ POR 122 - 111
Mar 2, 2025 POR @ CLE 129 - 133
Nov 30, 2023 POR @ CLE 103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.2% more
Portland: 15.8 vs Cleveland: 12.6
Blocks (L5) +18.9% more
Portland: 6.5 vs Cleveland: 5.2
Assists (L5) +20.4% more
Cleveland: 27.4 vs Portland: 22.7
Steals (L5) +12.6% more
Cleveland: 7.8 vs Portland: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 125.0 122
CLE Score 110.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 33.8 25.0 / 41.0
Assists 27.4 / 22.7 23.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.2 / 6.5 11.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 44.3 40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 76.3 / 71.1 88.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 45.1 / 45.4 45.0 / 54.0
Steals 7.8 / 6.9 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 15.8 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
POR
CLE
POR
ML
60% 69-46
53% 56-49
56% 55-44
55% 49-40
ATS
67% 75-37-3
62% 65-39-1
56% 55-44
55% 49-40
TTL
59% 68-47
56% 58-46-1
100% 99-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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