SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
14-6 | Road
114
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
13-8 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
MAGIC
0%
SPURS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
201.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
SA By 1-7 points
0.8%
SA By 8-14 points
0.1%
ORL By 1-7 points
4.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
89
SAN ANTONIO
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-8)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u236.0
Win
Proj Total: 201.0
D
Sim
u236.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
ORL @ SA
103 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
SA @ ORL
114 - 112
Apr 1, 2025
ORL @ SA
116 - 105
Feb 8, 2025
SA @ ORL
111 - 112
Oct 9, 2024
ORL @ SA
97 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+48.9% more
Orlando: 7.0
vs
San Antonio: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+46.2% more
Orlando: 14.3
vs
San Antonio: 9.8
Steals (L5)
+25.3% more
Orlando: 10.8
vs
San Antonio: 8.7
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Orlando: 44.8
vs
San Antonio: 40.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
89.0
114
ORL Score
112.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 36.9
33.0 / 34.0
Assists
25.7 / 24.3
27.0 / 20.0
Blocks
7.0 / 4.7
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 47.7
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 82.9
68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 40.4
48.0 / 52.0
Steals
10.8 / 8.7
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 9.8
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
SA
ORL
SA
ML
61%
65-42
60%
111-73
56%
51-40
58%
61-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
107-76-1
56%
51-40
58%
61-44
TTL
57%
61-46
74%
134-47-3
100%
91-0
100%
105-0
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