LA
CLIPPERSLAC
5-16 | Road
115
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
13-9 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
HAWKS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
LAC By 1-7 points
1.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
0.2%
ATL By 1-7 points
6.8%
ATL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
102
LA
Atlanta
123
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
LAC @ ATL
115 - 92
Nov 10, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 102
Mar 14, 2025
LAC @ ATL
121 - 98
Jan 4, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 131
Mar 17, 2024
ATL @ LAC
110 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.8% more
Atlanta: 10.8
vs
LA: 7.8
Assists (L5)
+37.5% more
Atlanta: 31.7
vs
LA: 23.1
Blocks (L5)
+28.5% more
Atlanta: 5.1
vs
LA: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+11.5% more
Atlanta: 16.5
vs
LA: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
102.0
115
ATL Score
123.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 32.1
33.0 / 31.0
Assists
31.7 / 23.1
20.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.0
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 45.8
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 86.4
79.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 42.3
38.0 / 54.0
Steals
10.8 / 7.8
9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 14.8
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAC
ATL
LAC
ML
50%
52-52
60%
59-40
55%
48-40
55%
45-37
ATS
53%
55-48-1
66%
65-33-1
55%
48-40
55%
45-37
TTL
53%
55-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…