CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
6-15 | Road
104
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
13-7 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
KNICKS
0%
HORNETS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
CHA By 1-7 points
13.7%
CHA By 8-14 points
4.8%
NY By 1-7 points
25.3%
NY By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
96
CHARLOTTE
New York
104
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
New York
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
CHA @ NY
110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026
NY @ CHA
103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025
CHA @ NY
104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025
NY @ CHA
129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025
NY @ CHA
98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.3% more
New York: 7.7
vs
Charlotte: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+11.3% more
New York: 27.4
vs
Charlotte: 24.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
New York: 40.2%
vs
Charlotte: 32.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
New York: 49.3%
vs
Charlotte: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
96.0
104
NY Score
104.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 32.5
32.0 / 31.0
Assists
27.4 / 24.6
28.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.1 / 5.9
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 44.3
48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 84.4
85.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 41.4
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.7 / 6.4
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 14.6
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CHA
NY
CHA
ML
61%
114-72
61%
60-39
56%
57-45
48%
40-44
ATS
67%
124-62
60%
59-40
56%
57-45
48%
40-44
TTL
72%
133-53
58%
57-42
100%
102-0
100%
84-0
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