MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
0-9 | Road
57
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
1-6 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BLACK BEARS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
ME By 1-7 points
0.6%
ME By 8-14 points
0.1%
OHIO By 1-7 points
4.0%
OHIO By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
73
MAINE
Ohio
97
OHIO
Simulated Score
Maine
65
MAINE
Ohio
78
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
ME @ OHIO
57 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+27.7% more
Ohio: 35.7
vs
Maine: 28.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.0%
Ohio: 66.3%
vs
Maine: 52.3%
Blocks (L5)
+46.9% more
Maine: 3.6
vs
Ohio: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+12.7% more
Maine: 7.7
vs
Ohio: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
73.0
57
OHIO Score
97.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.7 / 35.2
27.0 / 25.0
Assists
9.7 / 9.6
18.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 46.1
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 52.3
100.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 28.0
44.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.8
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
OHIO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
ME
OHIO
ME
ML
65%
20-11
45%
14-17
63%
19-11
52%
16-15
ATS
68%
21-10
55%
17-14
63%
19-11
52%
16-15
TTL
61%
19-12
55%
17-14
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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