Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Midshipmen @ Hornets NAVY @ DSU

NAVY

MIDSHIPMENNAVY

4-5  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Memorial Hall (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

2-7  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Navy)
MidshipmenNAVY (-3.5) 0 HornetsDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Midshipmen Cover

100.0%

Hornets Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NAVY -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)

NAVY By 1-7 points

0.2%

NAVY By 8-14 points

1.4%

DSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
89
NAVY
53
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
58
NAVY
68
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Midshipmen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Midshipmen (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 NAVY @ DSU 66 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.7% more
Navy: 12.5 vs Delaware State: 9.1
Blocks (L5) +23.0% more
Navy: 1.9 vs Delaware State: 1.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Navy: 32.1% vs Delaware State: 23.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.2%
Navy: 78.1% vs Delaware State: 70.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score 89.0 66
DSU Score 53.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.8 / 32.1 26.0 / 25.0
Assists 9.1 / 12.5 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.5 / 1.9 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 37.1 / 42.9 33.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 78.1 63.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 31.5 29.0 / 44.0
Steals 9.2 / 7.3 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 11.4 8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY Advantage
20-11-1 (64.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.3
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
NAVY
DSU
NAVY
ML
60% 18-12
79% 26-7
75% 18-6
55% 18-15
ATS
60% 18-12
73% 24-9
72% 18-7
55% 18-15
TTL
57% 17-13
73% 24-9
100% 25-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
SDSU's Nick Anderson Making Speedy Recovery from ACL Surgery, Ey…
headtopics 6 days, 21 hours ago
Nuggets Eye Ryan Nembhard as Potential Two-Way Steal if Hornets …
yahoo 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Dillon Brooks Takes a Jab at LaMelo Ball's Unconventional Path t…
sportingnews 2 months ago
McFeely’s Tip Sheet: NDSU at 11K football season tickets, near t…
inforum 2 months, 2 weeks ago
Duke basketball's first 2027 commit has a familiar last name
sportingnews 3 months, 1 week ago