Home / NHL Projections NHL / Jets @ Canadiens WPG @ MTL

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

13-12-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

13-9-3  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Dylan Samberg
GOALTENDER

Dylan Samberg

#54 | Defense
@
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Samberg None-None -- -- --
Jakub Dobes None-None 1.85 0.938 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.85
-- Save % 0.938
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
CANADIENS
100%
JETS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

WPG By 1 goal

19.7%

WPG By 2-3 goals

29.6%

MTL By 1 goal

12.1%

MTL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WINNIPEG
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 MTL @ WPG 5 - 1
Dec 3, 2025 WPG @ MTL 2 - 3
Jan 28, 2025 WPG @ MTL 4 - 1
Dec 14, 2024 MTL @ WPG 2 - 4
Dec 18, 2023 MTL @ WPG 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +4.6%
Winnipeg: 51.1% vs Montreal: 46.5%
Takeaways (L5) +82.5% more
Montreal: 5.0 vs Winnipeg: 2.8
Power Play % (L5) +31.0%
Montreal: 41.8% vs Winnipeg: 10.8%
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.4% more
Montreal: 17.6 vs Winnipeg: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 2
MTL Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.6 / 15.8 19.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 46.5 / 51.1 60.7 / 39.3
Hits 26.4 / 27.8 25.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 41.8 / 10.8 100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 22.5 / 23.7 31.0 / 32.0
Takeaways 5.0 / 2.8 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
40%MONEY60%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
WPG
MTL
WPG
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 7 hours, 37 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 49 minutes ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
yardbarker 2 days, 8 hours ago
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
mlive 4 days, 1 hour ago