Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Crusaders NE @ HC

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

3-5  |  Road

59
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 6:00 PM ET
Hart Center
View Odds Details →

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

3-6  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
CRUSADERS
100%
HUSKIES --
CRUSADERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Northeastern)
HuskiesNE (-3.5) 0 CrusadersHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

81.6%

Crusaders Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NE -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)

NE By 1-7 points

24.3%

NE By 8-14 points

26.8%

HC By 1-7 points

12.2%

HC By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
67
NORTHEASTERN
58
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
68
NORTHEASTERN
75
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Crusaders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Crusaders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 NE @ HC 59 - 76
Dec 10, 2022 HC @ NE 58 - 59
Nov 19, 2019 NE @ HC 101 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +72.0% more
Northeastern: 4.8 vs Holy Cross: 1.3
Turnovers (L5) +23.1% more
Northeastern: 17.3 vs Holy Cross: 13.3
Steals (L5) +18.3% more
Northeastern: 9.7 vs Holy Cross: 8.0
Assists (L5) +15.8% more
Northeastern: 14.9 vs Holy Cross: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 67.0 59
HC Score 58.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 36.4 31.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.6 / 14.9 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.3 / 4.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 47.7 54.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 62.8 / 71.8 85.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 30.1 36.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.0 / 9.7 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 17.3 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
HC Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
HC Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
NE
HC
NE
ML
52% 16-15
70% 21-9
61% 19-12
60% 18-12
ATS
55% 17-14
63% 19-11
64% 21-12
60% 18-12
TTL
58% 18-13
53% 16-14
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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