Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Mountaineers COPP @ WVU

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

2-8  |  Road

49
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

6-2  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
EAGLES --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (West Virginia)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

1.1%

Mountaineers Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

COPP By 1-7 points

0.8%

COPP By 8-14 points

0.1%

WVU By 1-7 points

4.8%

WVU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
40
COPPIN STATE
63
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
58
COPPIN STATE
92
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+31.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 COPP @ WVU 49 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
West Virginia: 37.3 vs Coppin State: 33.3
Free Throw % (L5) +2.5%
West Virginia: 69.2% vs Coppin State: 66.7%
Turnovers (L5) +32.3% more
Coppin State: 14.6 vs West Virginia: 9.9
Blocks (L5) +14.1% more
Coppin State: 3.8 vs West Virginia: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 40.0 49
WVU Score 63.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 34.6 32.0 / 21.0
Assists 13.5 / 13.6 20.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.8 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 45.6 47.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 66.7 61.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 33.3 45.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.9 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 14.6 7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
COPP
WVU
COPP
ML
63% 22-13
65% 20-11
76% 26-8
79% 19-5
ATS
60% 21-14
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
79% 19-5
TTL
40% 14-21
52% 16-15
100% 34-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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