CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
5-2 | Road
61
SETON HALL
PIRATESHALL
7-1 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
PIRATES
0%
BLUE DEVILS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
CCSU By 1-7 points
18.6%
CCSU By 8-14 points
8.0%
HALL By 1-7 points
27.2%
HALL By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
52
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Seton Hall
57
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
61
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Seton Hall
82
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
CCSU @ HALL
61 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.6% more
Seton Hall: 10.3
vs
Central Connecticut: 7.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.0% more
Seton Hall: 11.5
vs
Central Connecticut: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Seton Hall: 77.5%
vs
Central Connecticut: 75.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+24.1% more
Central Connecticut: 39.8
vs
Seton Hall: 30.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
52.0
61
HALL Score
57.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 45.9
55.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.7 / 20.1
20.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.5 / 5.6
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 55.2
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 75.4
80.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 39.8
34.0 / 31.0
Steals
10.3 / 7.9
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.0
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
HALL
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
HALL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
CCSU
HALL
CCSU
ML
41%
13-19
57%
17-13
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
ATS
50%
16-16
63%
19-11
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
TTL
53%
17-15
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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